How SIPs Work in Falling vs Rising Markets

Understand how Systematic Investment Plans (SIPs) behave in both rising and falling markets. Discover the power of discipline and long-term wealth building — even during market dips.

16/06/2025

Introduction

Many investors fear red markets. But for SIP investors, red can be a blessing — if they stay the course.

SIPs, or Systematic Investment Plans, work on a fixed monthly investment habit. But how do they really perform when the markets rise or fall?

 Let’s decode how SIPs behave in different market cycles and why they’re a powerful ally in wealth creation.

What Happens to SIPs in a Falling Market?

When markets fall, your SIP buys more units for the same amount of money. This reduces your average cost per unit. 🎯 Key Benefit: You accumulate more units cheaply, setting you up for strong gains when markets recover.

  What About Rising Markets? 

 In a rising market, your SIP buys fewer units because NAVs are higher. However, the overall value of your investment grows rapidly because the units you already own are appreciating. 

 ðŸŸ¢ Key Benefit:

 Gains compound as the market moves upward. 

  Real-Life Example: Ananya's SIP Journey Ananya invests ₹10,000/month in an equity mutual fund from Jan 2022 to Jan 2025.

  • In 2022, the market dipped 15%. Her SIP bought more units each month.
  • In 2023, the market recovered and grew by 18%. Her earlier units gained significantly.
  • By 2025, she had invested ₹3.6 lakhs and her portfolio value was ₹4.45 lakhs — a CAGR of 11.6%.
Had she stopped SIPs in 2022, her return would’ve dropped to just 7.1% CAGR. Conclusion 

 SIPs work best through all market cycles. In falling markets, they load up on cheap units; in rising ones, they reward your patience.

Stay consistent with SIPs — no matter the market mood. Let volatility work in your favor. Summary Table: SIP Performance in Market Phases

Market Phase SIP Advantage Investor Emotion Outcome
Falling Market Buys more units at low prices Fear and doubt Long-term gains if continued
Rising Market Portfolio value grows; compounding kicks in Excitement and greed Short-term euphoria
Flat Market Steady accumulation of units Boredom Prepares for next rally

Dr. Satish Vadapalli
Research Analyst