Consistency vs High Returns – What to Prioritize?

Which is better — a fund that delivers sky-high returns or one that’s consistent year after year? We break it down to help you make smarter investment choices.

25/06/2025

Introduction

Investors often chase the top-performing fund, only to see it underperform later. The smarter path is choosing funds that deliver steady returns across cycles.

Consistency may not feel exciting, but over time, it’s usually more rewarding than chasing peaks. Let’s break this down with metrics and a relatable example.

Why Consistency Matters More Than Occasional Outperformance

  1. Avoids Heartburn
    Wildly swinging NAVs cause panic and poor decisions.
  2. Compounds Better
    Steady 11% year-on-year beats one-time 20% followed by 2%.
  3. Behavioural Advantage
    Consistent funds reduce investor anxiety and help maintain SIP discipline.

Key Metrics to Evaluate Consistency

  • Rolling Returns (3-5 years)
  • Downside Capture Ratio
  • Return Consistency Quartile Rankings
  • Standard Deviation & Sharpe Ratio
Real-Life Example: Aarti vs. Dev
  • Dev picked a fund that had delivered 20% in 2020 and 4% in 2021 — then lost 8% in 2022.
  • Aarti chose a fund that gave 11–12% steadily every year.
By 2024, Aarti’s SIP returns stood at 11.3% CAGR, while Dev averaged only 8.6%, due to emotional withdrawals during dips.

Conclusion

High returns can be flashy, but consistency keeps you invested — and that’s the real compounding superpower. 

Before choosing a “hot” fund, check how consistent it has been over time. Choose peace of mind over adrenaline.

Summary Table: High Returns vs Consistency

Factor High Return Fund Consistent Performer
Peak Year Return 22% 12%
Worst Year Return -8% 9%
Rolling Return Range 6% – 22% 10% – 13%
Investor SIP Behaviour Erratic Steady
5-Year SIP CAGR 8.6% 11.3%

Dr. Satish Vadapalli
Research Analyst